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A lower rate environment this year will boost the thesis for investing in emerging markets, according to Christine Phillpotts, a portfolio manager at Ariel Investments. Phillpotts, who manages Ariel's Emerging Markets Value and Emerging Markets Value ex-China strategies, told CNBC's Mike Santoli at Berkshire Hathaway's annual shareholder meeting that there are several reasons why emerging markets should outperform in 2024 and beyond. For starters, a lower interest rate environment would mean that investors would increase flows to ex-U.S. regions, including emerging markets. The portfolio manager noted that valuation discounts for emerging market equities are at all-time lows, based on a comparison of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index versus the S & P 500. For investors interested in artificial intelligence beneficiaries, Phillpotts highlighted that key opportunities in emerging markets lay within the picks-and-shovels plays that "will power the AI revolution."
Persons: Christine Phillpotts, CNBC's Mike Santoli, She's, Ariel's, Phillpotts, Warren Buffett's Organizations: Ariel Investments, Federal Reserve, Ariel, China Locations: China, Berkshire, U.S
Currently, the S & P 500 just endured four 1% declines in a month for the first time since last October (5). The index's 20-day moving average has undercut the 50-day moving average for the first time since November, and there's a noticeable potential three-month topping pattern in play, as well. The 20-day moving average just crossed above the 50-day moving average, and both lines have started to curl higher. To drive this point home further, the upside-down version of the current S & P 500 looks a lot like… the S & P 500 (right-side-up) from last fall, as the index was coming back from the August-October correction. Here's a picture of the biggest bullish pattern from 2023, which was triggered soon after the 20-day moving average crossed over the 50-day moving average.
Persons: permabears, permabulls, it's, Frank Cappelleri
A new ETF designed to shield investors from the risk of market volatility starts trading on Wednesday. The Calamos S&P 500 Structured Alt Protection ETF (CPSM) promises to deliver investors "100% downside protection" against the index's losses over a one-year outcome period, according the firm's news release. Investors in the fund are subject to limits on the extent to which they can capture gains tied to the S&P 500 . It's a fully funded options package that delivers the upside of the S&P 500 to a cap with 100% capital protection over a 365-day outcome period," he said. "Then at the end of that year, the options reset, stay in the ETF and keep on going."
Persons: Calamos, Matt Kaufman, CNBC's, Kaufman, It's
Answering that question assumes understanding why we use the S & P 500 in the first place. While the Dow heavily favors industrial businesses — steel, chemicals, autos, oil and gas — the S & P 500 offers a more diverse representation. Also, the S & P 500 index is weighted by market value, which makes sense to professional investors. While certainly not a proxy for the S & P 500, it provides more exposure to other industries and stocks. As shown below, the equal-weighted S & P 500 has slightly outperformed the S & P 500 over the past 20 years.
Persons: I've, Gamble, Karen Firestone Organizations: Dow Jones, Dow, Apple, Procter, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Bloomberg, Goldman, Commodities, Asset Management
There have been 13 other market selloffs during the second year of a bull market since 1946, Belski noted. AdvertisementFollowing its 2021 pullback, the S&P 500 finished the second year of its bull market up 22.6% and 11.5% higher than its nadir. Valuations are still historically high, and mega-cap growth companies continue to make up a disproportionately large share of the S&P 500. Since Belski thinks this bull market has legs, he doesn't want to forgo future upside. These firms have higher earnings growth than the median S&P 500 name and also have lower price-to-earnings (P/E) and P/E-to-growth (PEG) ratios — a recipe for success.
Persons: , pales, Keith Lerner, Truist, Lerner, who've, Brian Belski, he's, Belski, selloffs Organizations: Service, Business, BMO Capital Markets, selloffs
These are the ten smartest cities in the world, according to IMD. This year's index was produced by the IMD World Competitiveness Center's Smart City Observatory in collaboration with the World Smart Sustainable Cities Organization (WeGO) that's based in Seoul, South Korea. Smart cities in Europe and Asia are gaining ground globally while North American cities have fallen down the ranks, according to the 2024 Smart City Index released April. Here are the top 10 smart cities, according to the 2024 Smart City Index. While European cities dominated the list, Asian cities are gaining ground too.
Persons: Bruno Lanvin, Lanvin Organizations: IMD, Smart, Smart Sustainable Cities Organization, United Arab Emirates, Washington DC, San, U.S, Boston, CNBC Locations: Seoul, South Korea, Europe, Smart, Asia, Zurich, Switzerland Oslo, Norway Canberra, Australia Geneva, Switzerland Singapore Copenhagen, Denmark Lausanne, Switzerland London, England Helsinki, Finland Abu Dhabi, Denver, Los Angeles, San Francisco, New York City, Chicago, Singapore, Beijing, Taipei City, Shanghai
His brokerage account mainly holds dividend and technology stocks and an S&P 500 index fund. AdvertisementHe also began buying the NEOS S&P 500 High Income ETF (SPYI), which launched in August 2022. It also beat out similar funds, such as the JP Morgan Equity Premium Income ETF and the Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF, throughout 2023. Portfolio VisualizerFor this reason, he decided to bet on an ETF similar to SPYI that went live in January 2024: the NEOS Nasdaq-100 High Income ETF (QQQI). It's also subject to the 60/40 tax rate, which means that only 40% of the fund's gains are subject to the higher short-term capital gains tax rate.
Persons: , Austin Hankwitz, Roth, Ethereum, Hankwitz, it's, It's, Austin Organizations: Service, Business, Morgan, Nasdaq, SPYI, JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity
The dollar stood just off its highest since early November against a handful of peer currencies on Tuesday, raising intervention worries as the yen languished at its lowest level since 1990 following hotter-than-expected U.S. retail sales. The dollar stood just off its highest since early November against a handful of peer currencies on Tuesday, raising intervention worries as the yen languished at its lowest level since 1990 following hotter-than-expected U.S. retail sales. In the U.S., retail sales rose 0.7% last month, compared with the 0.3% rise that economists polled by Reuters had forecast. The Japanese yen languished under the dollar's continued strength and large interest rate differential between the two countries, breaching 154 to hit a fresh 34-year low against the dollar on Monday. The offshore Chinese yuan was mostly unchanged at 7.2620 per dollar ahead of the key economic data releases out of China.
Persons: Matt Simpson, Shunichi Suzuki, Index's Simpson, bitcoin Organizations: Reuters, Federal Reserve, U.S ., U.S, Traders, Japanese Finance, European Central Bank Locations: China, U.S, Middle
Nvidia shares have continued to soar this year, up more than 80%. "We emphasize risk management much more than many growth investors," Shant told CNBC Pro. When should investors sell growth stocks? When asked about the right time to sell a growth company like Nvidia, Shant pointed to the firm's latest research note titled "Buy and Hold Forever?" [As in] they can't actually make enough to meet expectations in that quarter," Shant told CNBC's Squawk Box Friday.
Persons: they've, Raj Shant, Shant, We're, CNBC's, Jennison, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Nvidia, Jennison Associates, CNBC Pro, Global Equity, Novo Nordisk, Norges Bank, Barclays
CNBC's Jim Cramer questioned whether the hotter-than-expected consumer price index data accurately represents the state of inflation, saying Wall Street's wave of Wednesday selling could have been a mistake. "These headline CPI numbers do not reflect reality as I see it." The Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI is a key inflation metric — a broad measure of the cost of goods and services across the economy. Cramer first pointed to the 0.9% month-over-month increase in the price of meat, poultry, fish and eggs, with the latter alone climbing 4.6%. "I'm not talking about the absolute numbers, I'm talking about the trendlines, because the trendlines suggest that selling in response to this report may have been and could be a mistake."
Persons: CNBC's Jim Cramer, Dow Jones, Cramer Organizations: Labor Statistics CPI, Cal, Maine Foods, U.S Locations: Texas
I'll review a lower risk way to get long PDD. With lofty analyst expectations of over 50% annual revenue growth and 25%-plus EPS growth, PDD is downright cheap at only 13 times forward earnings. Despite the elevated growth rate, PDD remains very profitable with strong operating margins and FCF generation. However, I believe that the risk/reward is there for options buyers by using a vertical spread. PDD 1Y mountain PDD, 1-year Let's go out to June and buy the $120/$145 call vertical for a $8.10 debit.
Persons: PDD Organizations: PDD Holdings, Amazon, Walmart, FedEx
Read previewThe release of Forbes' annual rundown of the world's billionaires has underlined a glaring omission from the Bloomberg Billionaires Index: Michael Bloomberg himself. Forbes ranked the 82-year-old Bloomberg LP founder in 12th place with an estimated $106 billion fortune as of March 8. Based on Forbes' wealth estimate, Bloomberg would be in joint 12th position with Michael Dell (also $106 billion) as of Thursday. Related storiesThe Bloomberg Index's methodology explains why the boss is missing: "Bloomberg News editorial policy is to not cover Bloomberg LP. As a result, Michael Bloomberg, the founder and majority owner of Bloomberg LP, isn't considered for this ranking."
Persons: , Michael Bloomberg, Sergey Brin, Amancio Ortega, Carlos Slim Helu, Michael Dell, isn't, Forbes, Jensen Huang, Salomon Brothers, He's Organizations: Service, Forbes, Bloomberg, Business, Nvidia, Waltons, CVS Health, GM, New York City's Locations: Inditex, New York
Read previewFans of "American Horror Story" won't have to wait much longer for the show to return. Here's a refresher on what to know about "AHS: Delicate" before it returns. 'AHS: Delicate' is based on a bookKardashian plays Roberts' publicist on "AHS: Delicate." Eric Liebowitz/FXIn a series first, "AHS: Delicate" is based (at least in part) on a novel: "Delicate Condition" by Danielle Valentine. Kim Kardashian, who's new to the "American Horror Story" ensemble, also has a major role as Siobhan Corbyn, Anna's best friend and publicist.
Persons: , Ryan Murphy, Emma Roberts, Billie Lourd, Denis O'Hare, Kim Kardashian, Kardashian, Roberts, Eric Liebowitz, Danielle Valentine, Valentine, she's, Anna Alcott, Andrea Bartz, Halley Feiffer, Feiffer, Murphy, Cara Delevingne, Anna, Siobhan Corbyn, Anna's, Dex, Matt Czuchry, Hill, who's, Leslie Grossman, Siobhan, Anna —, It's, He's, Adeline —, Sonia Shawcross, Adeline, Ms, Preecher, Cora, Delevingne, Ivy, Dex's, Virginia Harding, She's, Mary I of England Organizations: Service, Business, AHS, Entertainment, Hollywood, SAG, Hulu Locations: Virginia
UPS will become the primary air cargo provider for the United States Postal Service. The Atlanta shipping company said Monday that it had received an air cargo contract from the U.S. UPS will move the majority of air cargo in the U.S. for the postal service following a transition period, according to UPS. USPS’s current air cargo contract with FedEx Corp. is set to expire in late September. Last month the International Air Transport Association said that total demand for air cargo, which is measured in cargo ton-kilometers, climbed 18.4% in January compared with the prior-year period.
Persons: Brie Carere, Louis DeJoy Organizations: United States Postal Service, U.S . Postal Service, UPS, FedEx Corp, FedEx, USPS, FedEx Express, U.S . Mail, International Air Transport Association, United Parcel Service Inc Locations: Atlanta, U.S, Puerto Rico, airfreight
United Parcel Service will become the United States Postal Service's (USPS) primary air cargo provider, the company said on Monday, as rival FedEx announced an end to its more than 20-year partnership with the postal service provider. USPS was the largest customer for FedEx's air-based Express segment, even as payments declined after the postal service shifted letters and packages from planes to more economical trucks. 1 USPS domestic air contractor, FedEx had supported the agency's Priority Mail and other quick services. "The parties were unable to reach agreement on mutually beneficial terms to extend the contract," FedEx said in a securities filing on Monday. USPS' payments to FedEx shrank to about $1.7 billion in fiscal 2023, from $2.4 billion during the fiscal year ended September 2020.
Persons: Thomas Martin, FreightWaves Organizations: Parcel Service, United States Postal, FedEx, UPS, USPS, GLOBALT Investments, Air Line Pilots Association Locations: Atlanta
But with the market at an all-time high, now is probably a good time to hedge against potential downside, experts say. That's especially the case because there's an elevated degree of risk facing stocks, and the cost of some insurance measures is historically cheap. Related storiesThe S&P 500 also looks overextended on a technical basis, according to many measures. AdvertisementRosenberg Research"The definition of a stretched market is one when the S&P 500 gaps 14% or more above the 200-day trendline. Beyond extreme, in fact — back to 1928, the S&P 500 has only drifted this far above the moving average 7% of the time," Rosenberg said.
Persons: Jim Smigiel, they've, Louis Fed, Phillip Colmar, Colmar, David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, Steve Sosnick, we're, Smigiel, Sosnick Organizations: Service, Nvidia, Microsoft, Bank of America's, Survey, Bank of America, SEI, Fed, Louis Fed Inflation, MRB Partners, Rebels, Rosenberg Research, Interactive Brokers Locations: Ukraine, Russia, Israel, Palestine, Suez
Employees work at the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Thursday, Jan. 4, 2024. Japan's stock markets were set to bounce Friday, while most markets in the Asia-Pacific region stay shut for a public holiday. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to rebound, with the futures contract in Chicago at 40,440 and its counterpart in Osaka at 40,390 against the index's last close of 40,168.07. The Japanese yen will be closely watched during the session amid speculation of a possible intervention after the currency recently hit 34-year lows against the U.S. dollar at 151.97. It last traded near 151.42 against the greenback.
Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Japan Exchange Group Inc, Nikkei, U.S, greenback Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka
The winners NVDA YTD mountain Nvidia (NVDA) year-to-date performance Nvidia came in No. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms (META) year-to-date performance Meta Platforms climbed 37.2% in the first quarter, coming in at second place within the portfolio. The laggards AAPL YTD mountain Apple (AAPL) year-to-date performance Apple suffered the most first-quarter losses in the portfolio, slumping 10.9% during the period. FL YTD mountain Foot Locker (FL) year-to-date performance Shares of Foot Locker declined 8.5% in the first quarter, making the sneaker retailer the second-worst-performing stock in the portfolio. PANW YTD mountain Palo Alto Networks (PANW) year-to-date performance Palo Alto Networks stock fell 3.7% during the first quarter, rounding out No.
Persons: Dow, chipmaker, It's, Instagram, Meta's, Jim Cramer, Walt Disney, Nelson Peltz, Jim, Peltz's Trian, Eli Lilly, LLY, Eli Lilly's, Apple, Locker's, Locker, Jim Cramer's, Jensen Huang, Ann Wang Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Nvidia, Facebook, Wall, DIS, Walt Disney, Peltz, Peltz's Trian Partners, Disney, U.S, Department of, Apple, Evercore ISI, Citigroup, Nike, Starbucks, Palo Alto Networks, Palo, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC Locations: China, Seattle, U.S, Palo, Taipei, Taiwan
"And I sort of look at the stock market right now as that clown of the circus blowing up the balloon." That earnings multiple is based on future earnings prospects, the economy, and interest rates. When the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates and the yield curve steepens, he said big banks should bring opportunities. "There will be areas to dip your toes in, but not for the overall market," Rosenberg said. He's bullish on long-term bonds and gold as the Fed cuts interest rates.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Rosenberg, he'll, they've, It's, " Rosenberg, he's, He's Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity, Federal Reserve, Nikkei Locations: Japan
Roslan Rahman | AFP | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to open mixed as investors await a slew of inflation reports from the region. Singapore and Malaysia will release their February inflation reports on Monday, while Australia's inflation numbers will be out on Wednesday. Tokyo's inflation numbers are due Friday. The capital's inflation numbers are widely seen as a leading indicator of nationwide trends. Futures for Hong Kong's Hang Seng index stood at 16,515, pointing to a slightly stronger open compared with the HSI's last close of 16,499.47.
Persons: Roslan Rahman Organizations: AFP, Getty, Nikkei Locations: Sands, Singapore, Asia, Pacific, Malaysia, Australia, Chicago, Osaka
Homebuilder sentiment rose 3 points in March to 51 on the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index. Sentiment also moved into positive territory for the first time since July. Fifty is the line between positive and negative sentiment. "But even though there is strong pent-up demand, builders continue to face several supply-side challenges, including a scarcity of buildable lots and skilled labor, and new restrictive codes that continue to increase the cost of building homes." Regionally, on a three-month moving average, sentiment rose most in the Midwest and West.
Persons: Carl Harris, Robert Dietz Organizations: National Association of Home Builders, West, Builders, Federal Reserve Locations: Wells Fargo, Wichita , Kansas, Midwest
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on July 20, 2023 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Jiang Qiming/China News Service/VCG via Getty Images China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall after producer prices in the U.S. grew faster than expected in February, coming in at 0.6% last month. Excluding food and energy prices, core PPI climbed 0.3% in February. Economists polled by Dow Jones had expected a 0.3% gain for headline PPI and a 0.2% increase for the core reading. Investors in Asia will be watching out for any news from Japan's spring wage negotiations, with first estimates expected to come out later in the day.
Persons: Jiang Qiming, Dow Jones Organizations: People's Bank of China, China News Service, Getty Images China, Service, Getty, PPI, Nikkei, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Chicago, Osaka, People's Bank of China, Australia
Beautiful and colorful aerial view of Mumbai skyline during twilight seen from Currey Road, on February 16, 2022 in Mumbai, India. Pratik Chorge | Hindustan Times | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets are set for a mixed open after Wall Street's tech-fueled rally dissipated, with Nvidia falling 1.1%, Meta slipping 0.8% and Apple dropping 1.2%. On Thursday, investors will assess India's wholesale inflation, while also monitoring any news coming out of Japan's spring wage negotiations. Japan's wage negotiations wrapped up on Wednesday, with the first overall estimate due out on Friday. Japan's Nikkei 225 is set to fall following these reports as markets price in the possibility of the BOJ tightening policy.
Persons: Pratik Organizations: Hindustan Times, Getty, Nvidia, Apple, Bank of Japan, Japan's Nikkei Locations: Mumbai, India, Asia, Pacific, Chicago, Osaka, Australia
The S & P 500 just achieved its last upside target of 5,180 a few days ago. The S & P 500 has closed above its own intra-day midpoint 80% of the time since October lows. The index's longest streak of "good closes" (closes above the mid-point) since the October lows has been nine. Consistently strong market breadth Market breadth (or internals) can be measured different ways, but simply tracking the percent of stocks advancing every day is both the simplest and most useful. From this perspective, the S & P 500 has had positive internals 70% of the trading days since the October lows.
Persons: It's, That's, they've, we'll
Investors weighing a shift into dividend stocks may be better off focusing on companies with big share buyback programs instead, according to Bank of America. The idea behind focusing on stock buybacks is that companies that can use excess cash to reduce their share count through buybacks are likely on strong financial footing. This is more of a pure-play buyback fund, tracking the Nasdaq US Buyback Achievers Index. To be sure, stock buybacks are a frequent target of politicians and their tax treatment could change in the years ahead. President Joe Biden called for raising the corporate tax rate for stock buybacks at his State of the Union address last week.
Persons: Jared Woodard, Woodard, PKW, Joe Biden Organizations: Bank of America, Bank of America's, Bank of, Nasdaq, Union Locations: buybacks
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